Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bologna v Monza

2026-10-31 14:00 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bologna (Casa)

Previsione 54.23%1.84quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.90%54.22%54.25%55.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.721.721.8162.11%58.26%58.14%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Monza (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.02%4.76quota equa
EV -0.138%
Vantaggio -0.029%
Kelly -0.037%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.14%21.04%20.98%21.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.424.404.7524.39%22.61%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.75%4.04quota equa
EV -0.999%
Vantaggio -0.250%
Kelly -0.333%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.80%24.75%24.77%25.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.753.754.0027.78%26.64%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Bologna (Casa): 54.23%; Monza (Trasferta): 21.02%; Pareggio: 24.75%. Per Monza (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.76. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.75, con un valore atteso del -0.138%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.38%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.77%EV -0.348%E -0.073%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV -1.99%E -0.502%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.32%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -3.29%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.90%EV -4.96%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 20:40
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.89%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.03%EV -6.20%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 21:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.10%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.10%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 23:59
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.10%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.10%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.10%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 20:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:40
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -1.19%E -0.253%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:40
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 20:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 20:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.47%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -0.138%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.999%E -0.250%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-26 01:34
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 00:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.95%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 20:40
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.73%EV -8.90%E -5.30%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.71%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.83%EV -11.61%E -7.12%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -8.55%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.62%EV -10.16%E -2.80%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -12.15%E -7.50%K -19.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -13.80%E -3.37%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-25 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -12.70%E -7.89%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 20:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.43%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%13.4%2026-10-25 20:40