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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Palermo v Lecce

开赛时间： 2026-08-17 19:19 UTC

最终结果： Palermo 2–0 Lecce

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palermo (主队)

预测 41.97%2.38公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -2.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.82%41.96%41.91%43.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.222.202.3048.78%45.12%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lecce (客队)

预测 29.70%3.37公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -0.884%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.27

博彩公司预测分布
29.08%29.72%29.64%31.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.093.103.2734.48%32.34%32.26%30.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.33%3.53公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.19%28.33%28.45%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.263.253.4032.26%30.71%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palermo (主队)：41.97%；Lecce (客队)：29.70%；平局：28.33%。 对于“Lecce (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.37。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.27，期望值为-2.89%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -7.91%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.20%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.42%EV -2.89%E -0.884%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 19:14
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.59%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.10%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 12:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.57%E -2.48%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.33%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 13:14
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.66%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.91%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.91%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.91%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 19:14
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.91%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -5.08%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 19:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 12:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 12:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.67%E -3.49%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 12:54
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 19:07
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -8.93%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -8.93%E -4.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-17 19:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -13.96%E -6.81%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.33%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-17 18:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-17 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-17 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-08-17 19:15