语言:简体中文
Monza v Avellino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Monza (主队)
预测 48.92%2.04公平赔率
EV -4.61%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -4.85%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
47.47%49.13%48.78%53.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.851.901.9558.82%54.18%52.63%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
Avellino (客队)
预测 23.43%4.27公平赔率
EV +5.45%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.56%
增长率 +0.085%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.95%23.39%23.53%24.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.094.004.5027.03%24.45%25.00%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.65%3.62公平赔率
EV +2.29%
优势 +0.620%
Kelly +0.850%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.48%27.48%27.69%28.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.443.403.7031.25%29.08%29.41%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Monza (主队)：48.92%；Avellino (客队)：23.43%；平局：27.65%。 对于“Avellino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.27。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.50，对应+5.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.90%E -7.90%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV +5.45%E +1.21%K +1.56%G +0.085% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.29%E +0.620%K +0.850%G +0.019% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.90%E -7.90%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV +5.45%E +1.21%K +1.56%G +0.085% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.29%E +0.620%K +0.850%G +0.019% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.90%E -7.90%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV +5.45%E +1.21%K +1.56%G +0.085% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.29%E +0.620%K +0.850%G +0.019% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.90%E -7.90%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV +5.45%E +1.21%K +1.56%G +0.085% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.29%E +0.620%K +0.850%G +0.019% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -13.90%E -7.90%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV +5.45%E +1.21%K +1.56%G +0.085% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +2.29%E +0.620%K +0.850%G +0.019% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.21%EV -16.35%E -9.56%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV +0.760%E +0.177%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -1.85%E -0.522%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -16.84%E -9.90%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +0.760%E +0.177%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -1.85%E -0.522%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -16.84%E -9.90%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +0.760%E +0.177%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -1.85%E -0.522%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -16.84%E -9.90%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -0.412%E -0.097%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.24%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.73%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -0.880%E -0.208%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.79%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.58%E -0.377%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.24%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 18:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -11.94%E -6.64%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.58%E -0.377%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.24%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.76%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.76%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -14.39%E -8.22%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.27%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -3.24%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.76%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.53%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.53%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.61%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.53%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.53%E -3.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -9.01%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.13%E -3.23%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.00%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -13.30%E -3.59%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.76%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -13.30%E -3.59%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.76%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 18:45 |