La escuela de los momios

Volos FC v OFI Crete

Inicio: 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Volos FC (Local)

Predicción 42.32%2.36momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.24%42.46%42.20%43.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.202.2851.28%45.95%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

OFI Crete (Visitante)

Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +0.681%
Kelly +0.934%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.75%27.53%27.94%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.233.203.7034.48%31.00%31.25%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.331%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.51%30.01%29.85%31.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.053.3037.04%32.59%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.37%EV -3.93%E -1.73%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV +2.52%E +0.681%K +0.934%G +0.024%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.64%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV +2.52%E +0.681%K +0.934%G +0.024%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.69%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV +2.52%E +0.681%K +0.934%G +0.024%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.69%E -2.50%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.250%E -0.069%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:54
Suprabets2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -7.32%E -3.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV -0.527%E -0.147%K -0.203%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -10.38%E -3.47%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 14:03
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.02%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 09:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.02%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.58%E -3.93%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -3.02%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 14:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.02%E -0.863%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 14:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 14:40
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.63%EV -9.44%E -4.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -6.07%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.82%EV -2.89%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:50
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 14:52
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.18%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 14:55
Betsson2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.47%E -2.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -1.09%E -0.331%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:29
NordicBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.47%E -2.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -1.09%E -0.331%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 14:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 09:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -2.59%E -0.798%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 14:09
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 14:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 09:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 11:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.19%EV -10.50%E -3.25%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.97%EV -12.18%E -4.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 14:34
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.90%E -3.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 14:54
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -8.17%E -3.76%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 09:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 09:49
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 09:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -13.08%E -4.51%K -6.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -14.58%E -5.12%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 14:35
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.89%EV -17.48%E -8.96%K -18.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.98%EV -19.08%E -7.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-08 14:54
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 09:09
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.01%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.09%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 14:39
Unibet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.69%EV -12.40%E -5.99%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.05%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.26%EV -9.49%E -3.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 09:25
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.55%EV -14.51%E -7.19%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -14.58%E -5.12%K -7.88%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-08 13:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -13.24%E -6.46%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -15.49%E -5.08%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.82%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.13%E -5.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.87%E -5.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.08%E -5.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 11:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:05
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -4.78%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -18.26%E -6.19%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -4.09%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 14:05
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -5.63%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -19.65%E -6.77%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -5.59%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%0.9%2026-03-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.30%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-03-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-03-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-03-08 14:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.37%2.9%2026-03-08 14:55