La escuela de los momios

Panserraikos FC v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Panserraikos FC 1–1 Panetolikos Agrinio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Panserraikos FC (Local)

Predicción 50.47%1.98momio equitativo
EV +0.930%
Ventaja +0.465%
Kelly +0.930%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.33%50.27%50.46%53.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.871.852.0058.82%53.56%54.05%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 22.38%4.47momio equitativo
EV +2.95%
Ventaja +0.640%
Kelly +0.818%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.17%22.55%22.37%25.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.454.014.004.6028.99%24.95%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.623%
Kelly -0.862%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%27.18%27.16%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.303.303.6032.79%30.27%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -12.19%E -7.01%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV +2.95%E +0.640%K +0.818%G +0.024%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:38
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.69%EV -10.17%E -5.71%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.52%EV +2.27%E +0.498%K +0.637%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.69%E -6.68%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV +0.708%E +0.157%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -12.70%E -7.34%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -1.53%E -0.348%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -7.14%E -3.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.89%EV -2.87%E -0.662%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.47%EV -2.51%E -0.700%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.64%E -3.59%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -3.10%E -0.715%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 06:20
Suprabets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.77%E -0.876%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:37
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 05:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 04:48
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.94%EV -10.17%E -5.71%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.59%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 05:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.12%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -7.65%E -4.18%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28%EV -7.12%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:25
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.24%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.24%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -2.24%E -0.623%K -0.862%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -5.63%E -3.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:25
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 06:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.16%E -5.09%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 06:20
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -14.21%E -8.36%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -1.59%E -0.817%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 06:35
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.47%EV -12.19%E -7.01%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.75%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV +0.930%E +0.465%K +0.930%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -1.09%E -0.555%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -17.20%E -4.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 17:15
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -1.59%E -0.817%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -17.20%E -4.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -1.59%E -0.817%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -17.20%E -4.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 17:15
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.35%EV -2.10%E -1.08%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -18.31%E -5.02%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -2.10%E -1.08%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -19.43%E -5.40%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 18:05
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.47%EV -4.62%E -2.44%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -20.55%E -5.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -22.79%E -6.61%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -14.46%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.69%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.83%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.83%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%3.3%2026-05-16 20:05