La escuela de los momios

Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK Thessaloniki

Inicio: 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Final: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1 PAOK Thessaloniki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Predicción 57.33%1.74momio equitativo
EV +4.92%
Ventaja +2.69%
Kelly +5.92%
Crecimiento +0.291%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.99%57.09%57.34%59.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.621.8366.23%61.93%61.73%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)

Predicción 17.47%5.72momio equitativo
EV +8.30%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.132%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.42%17.49%17.50%20.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.006.2022.22%19.65%20.00%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV -5.50%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.42%25.16%27.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.7532.26%27.86%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV +4.92%E +2.69%K +5.92%G +0.291%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -17.03%E -3.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 03:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 22:09
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.29%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.29%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -5.67%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -8.29%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:44
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.40%E -3.28%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.29%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -5.98%E -3.64%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:44
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.45%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.54%EV -1.13%E -0.200%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:45
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.18%E -0.389%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.18%E -0.389%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:45
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +8.30%E +1.34%K +1.60%G +0.132%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.56%EV -5.75%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:45
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.93%E -0.714%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:24
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:24
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:25
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:43
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:44
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 17:24
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-07 17:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:44
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.76%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.12%EV -7.12%E -4.40%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -21.39%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.76%EV -21.88%E -7.06%K -10.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 11:44
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -7.42%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:43
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 17:25
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Suprabets1.60I 62.50%NM 58.40%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +4.81%E +0.801%K +0.961%G +0.046%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.93%E -0.714%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 11:43
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:45
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 17:24
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-07 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.15%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.15%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.15%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:45
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -16.15%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -21.39%E -4.75%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 11:44
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.68%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -8.29%E -1.58%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.78%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -14.41%E -2.94%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV +0.440%E +0.077%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 06:34
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.94%EV -9.99%E -6.36%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -10.56%E -6.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.74%EV -17.90%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-10 11:44
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -11.14%E -7.19%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 11:44
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.83%EV -11.14%E -7.19%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -16.15%E -3.37%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-07 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 56.83%EV -13.43%E -8.89%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -12.66%E -2.53%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 21:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-05-10 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-05-10 02:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-05-10 02:25
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.60%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%2.2%2026-05-10 11:44
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%5.2%2026-05-10 02:29