La escuela de los momios

Olympiakos Piraeus v Panathinaikos

Inicio: 2026-05-13 16:34 UTC

Final: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Panathinaikos

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Olympiakos Piraeus (Local)

Predicción 67.22%1.49momio equitativo
EV -5.22%
Ventaja -3.70%
Kelly -12.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.99%67.23%67.40%69.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.371.371.4178.74%73.23%72.99%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panathinaikos (Visitante)

Predicción 11.99%8.34momio equitativo
EV +7.87%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +0.983%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.62%11.99%11.74%14.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.638.009.0015.38%13.11%12.50%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.79%4.81momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.260%
Kelly -0.330%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.42%20.78%20.86%22.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.334.304.7525.00%23.07%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.26%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV +7.87%E +0.874%K +0.983%G +0.077%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -1.24%E -0.260%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 16:29
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 68.66%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.61I 11.61%NM 11.01%EV +3.19%E +0.371%K +0.420%G +0.013%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.33%EV -3.11%E -0.667%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 16:29
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -10.59%E -7.97%K -32.10%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +1.87%E +0.221%K +0.250%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 16:31
Suprabets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.89%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.29%EV -0.522%E -0.063%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 16:28
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:29
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:31
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.06%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 16:31
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.96%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:31
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:30
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.51%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 16:29
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.38%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.16%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 16:29
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -11.27%E -8.54%K -35.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -2.28%E -0.484%K -0.615%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:29
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:29
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:29
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 16:29
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -11.63%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:29
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -16.83%E -4.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 16:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -12.61%E -9.70%K -42.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -4.12%E -0.515%K -0.588%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -8.51%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 16:31
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.28%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 16:31
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.44%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:30
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 66.26%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -14.75%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-13 16:30
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.59%E -7.97%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV -10.11%E -1.35%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -14.75%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-13 16:30
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -5.22%E -3.70%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.49%EV -10.23%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.16%EV -8.10%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:29
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 66.97%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.49%EV -11.31%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:30
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 66.97%EV -7.23%E -5.24%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.49%EV -11.31%E -1.53%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 16:28
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -13.11%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:28
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.58%E -6.31%K -23.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -13.11%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.44%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.33%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -13.11%E -1.81%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.59%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-13 16:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -16.10%E -2.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.36%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -9.25%E -6.85%K -26.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -16.10%E -2.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -14.75%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-13 16:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -10.59%E -7.97%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.10%E -2.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-13 16:30
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.68%EV -10.59%E -7.97%K -32.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.48%EV -16.10%E -2.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -16.83%E -4.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-13 16:31
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.39%EV -14.63%E -11.52%K -54.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%EV -16.10%E -2.30%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.38%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.59%EV -11.94%E -9.11%K -38.51%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.64%EV -17.30%E -2.51%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -12.67%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 16:28
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.06%EV -7.91%E -5.77%K -21.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.20%EV -19.10%E -2.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.75%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-13 16:31
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -22.10%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -22.10%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -22.10%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -5.89%E -4.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -22.10%E -3.40%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.97%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 16:31
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.26%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%0.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.10%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-13 16:31
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%2.0%2026-05-13 16:30
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.40%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.97%2.2%2026-05-13 16:30