La escuela de los momios

OFI Crete v Volos FC

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:00 UTC

Final: OFI Crete 3–1 Volos FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

OFI Crete (Local)

Predicción 51.99%1.92momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.39%51.99%51.81%53.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.791.801.8761.35%55.88%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Volos FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.21%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.483%
Kelly +0.625%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.47%23.17%23.30%24.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.804.4027.78%25.76%26.32%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.80%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -0.843%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%24.85%24.89%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.623.603.9031.25%27.61%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -8.49%E -4.83%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +2.12%E +0.483%K +0.625%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.67%EV -8.49%E -4.83%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV +2.12%E +0.483%K +0.625%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.03%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.39%EV -1.59%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.59%EV -4.28%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.75%EV -4.37%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.19%EV -7.75%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.14%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:37
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:38
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.53%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -3.29%E -0.843%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.97%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -7.97%E -4.51%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -9.49%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:38
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -4.33%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -4.33%E -2.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.77%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:35
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:35
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.25%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.75%EV -8.49%E -4.83%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.06%EV -12.13%E -7.18%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.59%EV -15.25%E -9.36%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.56%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -14.45%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:39
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -13.17%E -7.89%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -20.65%E -6.45%K -9.38%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.73%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 04:20
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -15.69%E -4.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.97%E -3.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -8.49%E -4.83%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -15.69%E -4.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 16:35
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -13.21%E -3.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-05-17 10:40