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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Levadiakos v Olympiakos Piraeus

Inicio: 2026-09-20 14:00 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 10.80%9.26momio equitativo
EV +10.94%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.129%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.33%10.86%10.88%12.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.368.5010.2714.29%11.97%11.76%9.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante)

Predicción 68.91%1.45momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -3.55%
Kelly -12.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.19%68.91%68.81%70.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.14%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.28%4.93momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.315%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.49%20.23%20.32%21.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.474.504.8725.00%22.36%22.22%20.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Levadiakos (Local): 10.80%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visitante): 68.91%; Empate: 20.28%. Para Levadiakos (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.26. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.27, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.94%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯10.27I 9.74%NM 9.33%EV +10.94%E +1.07%K +1.18%G +0.129%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.99%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.68%EV -1.22%E -0.250%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 13:49
Suprabets🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV +3.71%E +0.386%K +0.431%G +0.016%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.73%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 13:50
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +2.63%E +0.276%K +0.309%G +0.008%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -4.90%E -3.55%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 13:54
DraftKings🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.78%E -0.308%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 13:49
FanDuel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -2.78%E -0.308%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.05%EV -9.03%E -6.84%K -28.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.67%E -0.993%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 13:49
betano_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.78%E -0.308%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:53
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.78%E -0.308%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 13:52
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -2.78%E -0.308%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.75%EV -9.03%E -6.84%K -28.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -4.94%E -0.561%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -4.94%E -0.561%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:54
BetUS🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.60%EV -4.94%E -0.561%K -0.633%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:54
BetMGM🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -5.48%E -0.626%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.91%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 13:29
SportsBet🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -5.48%E -0.626%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.71%EV -9.72%E -7.42%K -31.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 13:48
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.54%EV -5.59%E -4.08%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 13:49
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.974%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 13:14
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -3.65%E -0.769%K -0.974%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 13:49
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.84%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 13:39
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.73%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -13.79%E -3.25%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -8.18%E -0.962%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.36%EV -10.41%E -8.01%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 13:49
1xBet🎯8.43I 11.86%NM 11.07%EV -8.93%E -1.06%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.12%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.81%EV -4.46%E -0.948%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:49
Betsson🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.00%EV -9.26%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.46%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 13:54
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.12%EV -10.34%E -1.25%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.37%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.02%EV -10.88%E -1.32%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.34%EV -6.97%E -5.16%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 13:54
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 13:49
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -6.28%E -4.62%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 13:54
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 13:52
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 13:14
Neds🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 13:14
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.76%EV -11.10%E -8.61%K -38.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.76%EV -11.10%E -8.61%K -38.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.76%EV -11.10%E -8.61%K -38.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 13:39
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.77%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.95%EV -13.86%E -11.09%K -55.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.28%EV -13.79%E -3.25%K -4.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-20 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.75%EV -13.58%E -1.70%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.78%EV -13.86%E -11.09%K -55.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.81%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-20 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.64%EV -15.74%E -2.02%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -7.66%E -5.71%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 13:54
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.29%EV -16.28%E -2.10%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.36%EV -11.79%E -9.21%K -42.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.35%EV -12.78%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 13:51
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -18.98%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -7.66%E -5.71%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -6.69%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 13:49
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -18.98%E -2.53%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.40%EV -21.68%E -2.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -8.35%E -6.27%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 12.08%EV -23.30%E -3.28%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 66.48%EV -11.10%E -8.61%K -38.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.44%EV -18.86%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-20 13:54
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -24.38%E -3.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.19%EV -10.41%E -8.01%K -34.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -18.86%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-20 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-09-20 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-09-20 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.48%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.6%2026-09-20 13:54
Smarkets◎11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.0%2026-09-20 13:49
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%2.0%2026-09-20 13:30