La escuela de los momios

Levadiakos v OFI Crete

Inicio: 2026-05-13 14:04 UTC

Final: Levadiakos 3–2 OFI Crete

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Levadiakos (Local)

Predicción 53.53%1.87momio equitativo
EV -5.25%
Ventaja -2.97%
Kelly -6.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.04%53.58%53.52%55.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.701.701.7763.69%58.95%58.82%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

OFI Crete (Visitante)

Predicción 22.69%4.41momio equitativo
EV +4.39%
Ventaja +0.954%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.02%22.61%22.69%23.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.174.104.6026.67%24.01%24.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.78%4.21momio equitativo
EV -0.132%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%23.81%23.79%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.783.804.2030.77%26.43%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV +4.39%E +0.954%K +1.22%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 14:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -12.21%E -7.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +2.12%E +0.471%K +0.605%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 14:00
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -12.21%E -7.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +2.12%E +0.471%K +0.605%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -12.21%E -7.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV +2.12%E +0.471%K +0.605%G +0.013%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 14:00
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.28%E -8.20%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +2.12%E +0.471%K +0.605%G +0.013%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 14:00
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -0.150%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 14:00
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.83%EV -15.96%E -10.17%K -28.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.15%EV -1.28%E -0.295%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 14:00
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.56%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.88%EV -1.51%E -0.348%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 13:59
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -1.74%E -0.402%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.132%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 13:59
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 13:59
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.79%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 13:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 14:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 14:00
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 13:58
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 14:01
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-13 14:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.83%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.52%EV -5.60%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.65%EV -5.84%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 13:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 14:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -8.47%E -4.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 14:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 14:00
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 53.87%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 13:59
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 14:00
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.27%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 13:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.40%E -4.27%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 14:00
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.28%EV -7.93%E -4.61%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 13:59
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.27%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 13:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 13:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 13:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 13:59
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.26%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -10.36%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 14:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 13:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 14:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 13:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.11%EV -13.82%E -8.58%K -22.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-13 13:59
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -10.07%E -6.00%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-13 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.04%EV -11.14%E -6.71%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-13 14:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -19.15%E -5.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-13 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.09%EV -15.42%E -9.76%K -26.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.49%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-13 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-13 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -10.61%E -6.35%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -14.90%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.72%E -6.99%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-13 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-05-13 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-05-13 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-05-13 14:01
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 54.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%9.9%2026-05-13 14:01