La escuela de los momios

Atromitos Athens v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-02-28 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Predicción 54.23%1.84momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.87%54.25%54.19%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.701.721.7664.94%58.67%58.14%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 18.43%5.43momio equitativo
EV +3.00%
Ventaja +0.537%
Kelly +0.654%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%18.41%18.42%20.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.854.805.5922.73%20.60%20.83%17.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.34%3.66momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.29%27.33%27.39%28.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.22%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.17%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.17%EV +3.00%E +0.537%K +0.654%G +0.020%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:24
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.500%E -0.093%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:19
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -0.500%E -0.093%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:12
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -3.26%E -0.622%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.24%EV -3.26%E -0.622%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -3.26%E -0.622%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 17:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.23%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -3.26%E -0.622%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 17:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.19%E -0.805%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.19%E -0.805%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:14
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -4.19%E -0.805%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 17:14
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.03%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 17:04
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:24
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 17:24
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:24
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -9.98%E -6.01%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 17:04
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.77%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.84%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:24
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.71%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:23
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.87%EV -11.61%E -7.12%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.44%EV -10.63%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.40%E -2.51%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 17:13
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.29%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:04
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.69%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 17:24
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.64%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -11.56%E -2.41%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 17:05
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -12.48%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -12.48%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.13%EV -10.52%E -6.38%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.48%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 17:15
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:45
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.32%EV -16.49%E -10.71%K -30.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.80%EV -13.40%E -2.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.88%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 17:14
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:45
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.99%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 17:14
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -7.27%E -4.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -15.24%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.91%EV -13.23%E -8.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.96%EV -16.16%E -3.55%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.13%EV -13.04%E -4.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 17:24
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -5.10%E -2.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -17.08%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.13%E -3.42%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 17:24
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -17.08%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -9.44%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -17.08%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -17.97%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 17:04
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.27%EV -12.69%E -7.88%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -17.08%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -15.23%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-28 17:14
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.48%EV -11.06%E -6.75%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.94%EV -18.93%E -4.30%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 17:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.76%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-02-28 17:25
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.65%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-02-28 17:25