La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Atromitos Athens v AE Kifisia FC

Inicio: 2026-09-19 16:00 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 1–2 AE Kifisia FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Predicción 40.87%2.45momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.86%40.92%40.86%43.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.212.202.3750.76%45.28%45.45%42.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AE Kifisia FC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.78%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.24%
Ventaja +0.366%
Kelly +0.518%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%29.70%29.79%30.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.103.4035.71%31.81%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.954%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.66%29.38%29.35%30.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.14%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atromitos Athens (Local): 40.87%; AE Kifisia FC (Visitante): 29.78%; Empate: 29.35%. Para AE Kifisia FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.36. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:54
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV +1.24%E +0.366%K +0.518%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:54
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -1.73%E -0.526%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -1.73%E -0.526%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 15:32
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -3.22%E -0.992%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.15%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 15:31
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.64%EV -3.13%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -3.52%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.17%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.17%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 15:53
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:32
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -16.62%E -8.15%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -16.62%E -8.15%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -16.62%E -8.15%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -4.71%E -1.47%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -4.62%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 15:54
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.98%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.20%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:44
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.45%EV -6.50%E -2.07%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.45%EV -7.84%E -2.50%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 15:52
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:54
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:54
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 15:54
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -6.81%E -2.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 15:54
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:32
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.42%EV -19.48%E -9.89%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -7.69%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -13.42%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-19 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.18%E -3.01%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 15:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 14:01
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -14.16%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.49%E -3.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 15:53
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.12%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -10.67%E -3.56%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -15.48%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-19 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.48%EV -15.39%E -7.44%K -14.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -12.16%E -4.12%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.41%EV -14.30%E -4.90%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-19 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.65%E -4.71%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -9.02%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.21%EV -14.16%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.16%EV -16.62%E -5.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.63%EV -16.36%E -5.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%18.4%2026-09-19 15:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-19 15:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.99%1.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.10%2.9%2026-09-19 14:16