Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos Agrinio

Inicio: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Panetolikos Agrinio

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%41.15%41.32%42.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3247.62%44.43%44.44%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante)

Predicción 28.21%3.54momio equitativo
EV -0.410%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.10%28.23%28.20%30.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.153.5334.72%31.46%31.75%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.55%3.27momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.47%30.62%30.48%32.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1537.04%33.54%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 41.24%; Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante): 28.21%; Empate: 30.55%. Para Panetolikos Agrinio (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.54. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.53, con un valor esperado de -0.410%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:20
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.82%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.25%EV -0.410%E -0.116%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.93%EV -5.00%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.78%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 16:14
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.92%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -9.58%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.92%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -9.58%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -11.98%E -3.84%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -7.75%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -5.91%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.48%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -16.77%E -5.69%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 16:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:04
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.08%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:04
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.83%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 15:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:33
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.31%E -2.56%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:34
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Suprabets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.74%EV -7.62%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -2.67%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -8.03%E -3.60%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -18.18%E -6.27%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 16:19
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:48
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -5.30%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.72%E -3.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.90%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -18.75%E -6.51%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -15.99%E -5.82%K -9.14%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-22 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.13%E -3.53%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 15:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.41%E -3.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.54%E -4.05%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -17.52%E -6.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -9.16%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -8.36%E -2.79%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 16:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -15.36%E -5.12%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -9.88%E -3.35%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-22 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.95%E -4.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.76%EV -14.47%E -5.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%1.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%1.9%2026-04-22 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.18%1.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.18%1.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%3.0%2026-04-22 16:39