La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AEK Athens v PAOK Thessaloniki
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEK Athens (Local)
Predicción 45.23%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.17%45.16%45.31%46.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.052.052.1553.19%48.75%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
PAOK Thessaloniki (Visitante)
Predicción 25.54%3.92momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.351%
Kelly +0.469%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.56%25.47%25.56%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.493.453.9731.75%28.65%28.99%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.530%
Kelly -0.755%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.55%29.37%29.12%31.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.153.3635.71%32.02%31.75%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -8.19%E -4.03%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV +1.39%E +0.351%K +0.469%G +0.007% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -9.97%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.25%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV +0.882%E +0.223%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 12:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.04%EV -5.47%E -2.62%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -1.78%E -0.530%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -10.84%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -10.84%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.95%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 14:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.00%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.00%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.00%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 14:30 |
| Suprabets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.00%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 14:42 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 14:53 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 14:48 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 11:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.95%EV -12.26%E -6.32%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -9.97%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.68%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.19%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.13%EV -16.69%E -5.86%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-19 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -13.61%E -7.13%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.15%E -6.48%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-19 14:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.89%EV -10.90%E -5.53%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 14:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-19 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.61%E -7.13%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -13.16%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.64%EV -10.45%E -5.28%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -14.44%E -4.31%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%EV -10.84%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.46%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.00%E -5.23%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.00%E -5.23%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -17.00%E -5.23%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -18.27%E -5.71%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -7.73%E -3.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -19.55%E -6.21%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -10.84%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 14:50 |