La scuola delle quote

AE Kifisia FC v AEL

Inizio: 2026-05-21 16:00 UTC

Finale: AE Kifisia FC 3–2 AEL

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AE Kifisia FC (Casa)

Previsione 49.36%2.03quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -2.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.54%49.33%49.31%50.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.861.851.9857.80%53.82%54.05%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.80%4.20quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -0.592%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.67%23.78%23.86%25.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.823.804.1027.78%26.21%26.32%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.84%3.73quota equa
EV -4.72%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.43%26.89%26.83%28.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.353.353.5533.33%29.82%29.85%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:48
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 15:40
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 15:50
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.73%EV -5.72%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.85%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 15:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.72%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 15:39
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -5.72%E -2.99%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 15:50
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-21 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.20%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.20%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 15:39
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -7.20%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.09%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 15:46
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.69%E -4.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 15:49
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.69%E -4.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.69%E -4.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:50
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -7.69%E -4.11%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 15:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 15:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 15:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-21 15:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-21 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -9.17%E -4.98%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.41%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 15:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -9.67%E -5.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 15:39
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.67%E -5.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 15:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.15%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -8.75%E -2.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 15:39
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.15%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.12%E -4.41%K -6.42%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-21 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -11.15%E -6.19%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -19.48%E -6.49%K -9.74%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-21 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.84%EV -11.64%E -6.50%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.29%EV -8.85%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -10.90%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 15:46
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -12.13%E -6.82%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-21 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.58%EV -14.60%E -8.44%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.18%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%EV -15.46%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-21 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-05-21 15:50
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-05-21 15:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-21 15:40