La escuela de los momios

Wehen Wiesbaden v Hansa Rostock

Inicio: 2026-03-20 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Predicción 30.83%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.527%
Kelly +0.756%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.29%30.68%30.83%32.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.903.3038.02%34.26%34.48%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Predicción 41.59%2.40momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.56%41.78%41.47%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.142.3150.00%46.37%46.73%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.824%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%27.54%27.70%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV +1.74%E +0.527%K +0.756%G +0.013%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 17:40
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -0.112%E -0.034%K -0.050%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.76%EV -7.25%E -3.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -5.41%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:40
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.58%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 17:35
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.33%EV -2.58%E -0.816%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 17:34
Suprabets3.08I 32.47%NM 29.53%EV -5.04%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.49%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 17:34
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 17:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 17:34
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.51%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 17:34
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:38
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -9.98%E -3.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 06:29
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -9.98%E -3.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 06:30
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.42%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:14
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -2.10%E -0.592%K -0.824%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 06:30
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 06:29
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -10.16%E -4.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 17:05
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.58%E -4.92%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 17:15
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.99%E -5.14%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -3.48%E -0.994%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 17:05
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 17:55
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 17:55
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.50%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.51%E -4.68%K -6.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 17:55
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.21%E -3.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.21%E -3.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.52%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 04:10
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.52%E -4.01%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 04:15
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.68%E -4.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -6.24%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-20 17:15
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.68%E -4.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.75%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-20 17:34
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.22%E -5.53%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -8.99%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-20 17:15
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 30.38%EV -15.22%E -5.53%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -16.81%E -8.41%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -17.27%E -5.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-20 17:38
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -16.76%E -6.21%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.26%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.66%EV -10.37%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-20 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.59%EV -18.92%E -7.19%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -12.65%E -6.03%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.85%EV -20.58%E -7.14%K -10.95%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-20 03:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-03-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-03-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-03-20 17:50