L’École des cotes

VfL Osnabrück v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Score final : VfL Osnabrück 1–0 FC Energie Cottbus

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prévision 41.59%2.40cote équitable
EV -6.00%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -4.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.83%41.70%41.36%44.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.152.2650.00%46.18%46.51%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.606%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.77%31.74%32.02%33.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.852.883.1038.46%35.11%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.55%26.62%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.503.6632.26%29.08%28.57%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -6.00%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.85%EV -4.77%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -2.80%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 09:54
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.41%E -2.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.42%E -4.52%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.54%EV -6.83%E -3.05%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -13.69%E -5.05%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.28%EV -7.66%E -3.45%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.38%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.05%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 09:05
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.46%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 09:39
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.49%E -3.86%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 09:40
Suprabets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -10.16%E -4.70%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.24%EV -7.32%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.66%EV -9.44%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 09:02
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.27%E -0.410%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 09:00
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 11:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.57%E -4.92%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 09:00
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -10.99%E -5.13%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.65%E -6.02%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 08:35
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -2.86%E -0.939%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 08:46
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 13:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-08 17:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-12 09:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 40.82%EV -14.73%E -7.19%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.19%EV -17.20%E -6.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.99%EV -17.67%E -5.70%K -8.41%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-12 10:09
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -16.81%E -8.41%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -10.83%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 08:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00