La scuola delle quote

VfB Stuttgart II v Rot-Weiss Essen

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

Finale: VfB Stuttgart II 6–1 Rot-Weiss Essen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

VfB Stuttgart II (Casa)

Previsione 27.70%3.61quota equa
EV -0.264%
Vantaggio -0.073%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.81%27.60%27.65%28.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.263.253.6033.33%30.64%30.77%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rot-Weiss Essen (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.54%1.98quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.60%50.60%50.59%52.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.821.841.9159.88%55.05%54.35%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.76%4.60quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.464%
Kelly -0.597%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.56%21.80%21.76%24.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.304.034.004.5030.30%24.81%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -0.264%E -0.073%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.55%E -5.96%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -4.26%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:15
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.00%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.19%EV -2.31%E -0.514%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 14:20
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -3.03%E -0.867%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -11.56%E -6.61%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -7.01%E -3.81%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.26%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:25
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -7.01%E -3.81%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.26%E -0.969%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 14:25
Suprabets3.39I 29.50%NM 26.79%EV -6.08%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.59%EV -11.05%E -6.28%K -14.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.62%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 14:17
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -8.62%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 14:25
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -3.47%E -1.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.37%EV -7.01%E -3.81%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -6.44%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -2.09%E -0.464%K -0.597%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 14:25
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.62%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 14:20
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.08%EV -10.55%E -5.96%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%EV -8.62%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:20
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 14:24
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -8.02%E -4.41%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 14:09
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 14:20
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.14%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 14:11
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.14%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.03%E -5.02%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.14%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 14:10
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -5.49%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.79%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 14:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 14:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 14:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -11.56%E -6.61%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -15.14%E -3.88%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -11.56%E -6.61%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -17.32%E -4.56%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-02 14:25
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%EV -16.89%E -5.63%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 50.65%EV -15.60%E -9.34%K -23.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%EV -12.97%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-02 14:15
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 27.79%EV -16.89%E -5.63%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.05%EV -14.09%E -8.29%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -21.67%E -6.02%K -8.33%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-02 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.45%EV -16.89%E -5.63%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 47.60%EV -12.57%E -7.27%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.95%EV -28.20%E -8.54%K -12.26%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-02 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-02 14:15