L’École des cotes

TSV Havelse v Schweinfurt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Score final : TSV Havelse 3–2 Schweinfurt

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 45.48%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.54%45.59%45.28%47.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.971.952.1154.64%50.79%51.28%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Schweinfurt (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.39%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.381%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.95%30.33%30.44%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.003.2537.04%32.68%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -0.821%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%24.08%24.28%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.604.0431.25%27.15%27.78%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.56%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 03:04
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 44.56%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.87%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 03:04
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.26%EV -6.32%E -3.07%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.16%EV -3.97%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.59%EV -2.49%E -0.617%K -0.821%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 01:45
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 19:24
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:24
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:24
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:04
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.09%EV -7.68%E -3.78%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 23:34
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.08%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.67%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 19:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 19:19
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 19:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -9.05%E -4.52%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 19:19
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -9.96%E -5.03%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -10.41%E -5.28%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.76%E -0.861%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.46%E -0.865%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:44
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -11.91%E -3.26%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 14:25
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 14:25
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-05 14:25
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 19:12
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.49%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.32%E -5.81%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 13:35
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:24
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:25
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:24
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:30
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -11.78%E -6.07%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -1.24%E -0.381%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-05 14:29
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.29%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.88%EV -11.87%E -4.09%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -15.53%E -4.44%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 13:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -13.14%E -6.88%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -17.95%E -6.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -13.11%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-09 19:09
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.58%EV -13.59%E -7.16%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -8.83%E -2.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -10.70%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 44.59%EV -14.96%E -8.00%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -17.95%E -6.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -17.94%E -5.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-10 01:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.30%EV -16.78%E -9.17%K -20.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.79%EV -12.48%E -4.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.91%EV -22.77%E -7.11%K -10.35%G +0.000%20.6%2026-05-09 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-05-10 02:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-05-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.7%2026-05-10 03:04