L’École des cotes

TSV Havelse v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TSV Havelse (Local)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.381%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.77%18.48%18.61%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.824.785.5023.09%20.77%20.94%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.87%1.62cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -3.06%
Kelly -8.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.82%61.90%61.83%63.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.01%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV +0.128%
Avantage +0.025%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%19.62%19.56%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.424.305.1027.78%22.60%23.26%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.381%G +0.007%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -9.05%E -6.15%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV +1.71%E +0.311%K +0.381%G +0.007%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.05%E -6.15%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 11:44
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -2.91%E -0.554%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -11.52%E -8.06%K -26.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.63%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 11:45
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV -5.68%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +0.128%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV -5.68%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +0.128%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 11:44
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.53%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -5.33%E -3.49%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:54
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.53%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 11:55
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.53%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:55
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -7.53%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 11:44
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -7.53%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -13.38%E -9.55%K -33.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -19.50%E -4.76%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.46%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:54
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -8.46%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:54
Pinnacle4.94I 20.24%NM 19.26%EV -8.64%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.95%EV -1.44%E -0.287%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:55
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -9.38%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -3.80%E -0.775%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 11:54
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.70%EV -10.31%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.46%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 07:29
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 07:30
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 07:29
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 07:30
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 17.97%EV -11.23%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.91%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -23.43%E -6.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 11:44
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -12.16%E -2.56%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.33%E -3.49%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -14.60%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 11:19
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -5.95%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -5.95%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 11:19
Unibet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -5.95%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 11:20
TABtouch4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:19
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:00
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:19
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Svenska Spel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -13.08%E -2.78%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -6.57%E -4.35%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -15.58%E -3.62%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Suprabets4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.94%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:53
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 11:55
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 11:54
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -14.93%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -13.62%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 11:54
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -16.78%E -3.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.19%E -4.79%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.84%E -0.367%K -0.459%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.30%EV -16.78%E -3.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 58.82%EV -13.38%E -9.55%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.88%EV -29.32%E -8.14%K -11.28%G +0.000%21.4%2026-04-04 11:44
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 18.97%EV -18.63%E -4.23%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 59.62%EV -13.38%E -9.55%K -33.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.40%EV -23.43%E -6.01%K -8.08%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:44
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 19.85%EV -19.92%E -4.60%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.69%EV -10.90%E -7.57%K -24.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.46%EV -17.54%E -4.18%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-04 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-04-04 11:44