L’École des cotes

Jahn Regensburg v Alemannia Aachen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Jahn Regensburg 1–3 Alemannia Aachen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 36.58%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.861%
Avantage -0.318%
Kelly -0.503%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.28%36.43%36.61%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.522.502.7144.44%39.63%40.00%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alemannia Aachen (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.83%2.64cote équitable
EV -5.42%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.24%37.99%37.74%39.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.13%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -0.991%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.58%25.65%28.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.463.403.8034.72%28.91%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20%EV -0.861%E -0.318%K -0.503%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.09%EV -7.69%E -3.15%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.71%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 16:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.23%E -0.454%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -1.23%E -0.454%K -0.722%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:34
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 21:09
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:15
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:19
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:19
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:14
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -11.85%E -5.09%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:15
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:55
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:54
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -2.77%E -0.730%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:54
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -8.07%E -3.32%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:54
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 16:52
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.45%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 16:44
Suprabets2.45I 40.82%NM 37.11%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.42%EV -8.07%E -3.32%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%EV -8.66%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 16:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:45
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:49
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.34%E -4.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 16:49
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.34%E -4.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 16:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:54
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:54
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -16.85%E -5.18%K -7.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-17 16:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -15.57%E -4.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 16:45
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.86%E -6.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.01%E -3.83%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-17 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 35.45%EV -15.86%E -6.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.24%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.31%EV -26.31%E -9.14%K -14.00%G +0.000%22.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -17.69%E -7.86%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.99%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -18.13%E -5.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-17 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-17 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.69%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-17 16:55