La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart II
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hansa Rostock (Local)
Predicción 57.29%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -5.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.19%57.19%57.43%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.611.6866.67%61.85%62.11%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfB Stuttgart II (Visitante)
Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -0.975%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.86%20.98%20.80%23.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.204.204.5826.32%23.80%23.81%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.85%4.58momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.475%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.78%21.83%21.78%24.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.044.004.5029.41%24.77%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:05 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:09 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-04 12:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.77%EV -4.47%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.57%EV -3.63%E -0.823%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 12:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.47%E -3.32%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.40%E -2.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 13:23 |
| Suprabets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.12%EV -7.19%E -4.44%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 00:22 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -16.56%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.03%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.83%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.77%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.03%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.83%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.77%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.03%EV -7.77%E -4.82%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.83%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -14.77%E -3.79%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.66%E -0.370%K -0.475%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 12:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 00:24 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 11:13 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.07%EV -8.34%E -5.21%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -9.26%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.87%E -4.12%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 01:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.48%E -6.00%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-07 15:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -10.06%E -6.41%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-06 13:28 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.06%E -6.41%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -10.63%E -6.81%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -6.13%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-05 15:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.20%E -7.23%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -20.74%E -5.46%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 01:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -12.35%E -8.07%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-04 08:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -12.35%E -8.07%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -16.96%E -4.46%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-04 08:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.35%EV -12.35%E -8.07%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -20.74%E -5.46%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -23.52%E -6.72%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-07 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.61%EV -14.07%E -9.38%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.86%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.53%EV -25.70%E -7.56%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-05-08 12:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.05% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.05% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 02:24 |