Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 v Hansa Rostock

Início: 2026-09-11 17:00 UTC

Final: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 4–0 Hansa Rostock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local)

Previsão 33.49%2.99odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -0.997%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.54%33.63%33.47%35.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.672.702.9040.82%37.51%37.04%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hansa Rostock (Visitante)

Previsão 40.68%2.46odd justa
EV -6.43%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.76%40.66%40.71%41.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.252.3047.62%44.78%44.44%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.83%3.87odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -0.833%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.42%25.71%25.82%27.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.513.503.7531.25%28.52%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local): 33.49%; Hansa Rostock (Visitante): 40.68%; Empate: 25.83%. Para FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.99. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.90, com valor esperado de -2.89%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -2.89%E -0.997%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 20:54
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.40%EV -5.90%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.79%EV -5.97%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.58%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -7.58%E -2.75%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 10:44
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 19:45
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.21%EV -8.25%E -3.01%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -9.28%E -4.16%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:05
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:06
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.25%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 17:15
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 09:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.82%EV -10.10%E -4.57%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 07:35
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:08
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.59%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.13%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 11:40
Suprabets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.39%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.59%EV -11.32%E -5.19%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -11.93%E -4.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:01
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.93%E -4.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -11.93%E -4.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 14:20
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.27%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -12.27%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -12.94%E -4.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -12.94%E -4.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -12.94%E -4.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -12.94%E -4.98%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -14.61%E -5.73%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -12.54%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-09 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -14.75%E -4.47%K -6.41%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-07 06:55
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.96%E -7.33%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.33%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-09 08:39
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -17.96%E -7.33%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.33%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-09 08:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%5.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.01%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%5.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.01%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%5.8%2026-09-09 17:35