L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v Rot-Weiss Essen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Score final : FC Energie Cottbus 5–3 Rot-Weiss Essen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 42.97%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.56%43.10%42.88%44.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.142.152.2552.36%46.70%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.63%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.934%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.17%31.52%31.63%34.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.1038.46%35.71%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.23%25.38%25.49%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.7533.33%28.03%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -3.32%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -4.18%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -16.19%E -6.11%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 10:50
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.98%EV -2.59%E -0.842%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.65%EV -5.50%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:20
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.47%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.54%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -7.27%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:20
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.32%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 10:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.32%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 10:10
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.41%EV -7.18%E -3.33%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 10:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:10
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 10:40
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.81%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 10:14
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.73%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:24
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.90%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 10:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.96%E -0.633%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:20
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.54%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.76%E -4.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Suprabets2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -10.19%E -4.88%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.63%EV -6.07%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.58%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:21
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 11:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.61%E -5.41%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-19 11:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -14.06%E -7.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.08%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.05%EV -14.06%E -7.03%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -17.77%E -6.84%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.37%EV -23.79%E -7.93%K -11.89%G +0.000%21.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 43.56%EV -16.21%E -8.31%K -17.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.46%EV -14.61%E -5.41%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.98%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 43.57%EV -17.93%E -9.39%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.82%EV -14.61%E -5.41%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -17.44%E -5.36%K -7.75%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-19 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-04-19 11:25