L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v Hansa Rostock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 42.21%2.37cote équitable
EV +1.30%
Avantage +0.544%
Kelly +0.932%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.80%42.29%42.00%43.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.202.4050.00%45.01%45.45%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hansa Rostock (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.53%3.17cote équitable
EV +0.906%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.412%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.16%31.39%31.78%36.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.762.753.2040.00%36.19%36.36%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.32%26.23%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.503.7034.72%29.05%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -19.59%E -7.68%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 17:56
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:00
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV +1.30%E +0.544%K +0.932%G +0.012%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -21.17%E -8.47%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 17:56
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.03%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.88%E -0.935%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 12:24
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.03%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.88%E -0.935%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.85%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 12:25
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:35
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -6.29%E -2.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:49
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.17%EV -0.356%E -0.113%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -10.13%E -3.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 12:50
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.13%E -3.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 12:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 12:24
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.14%E -3.24%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 12:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV +0.906%E +0.283%K +0.412%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 12:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 12:24
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 12:24
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.25%E -4.30%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 12:24
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -10.51%E -4.96%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.21%EV -5.09%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -11.25%E -3.33%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 12:26
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.36%E -5.41%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 12:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -13.47%E -6.57%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -15.98%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-07 12:24
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -9.50%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 12:25
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-07 12:24
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 41.59%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.75%EV -17.38%E -6.63%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.66%EV -18.08%E -5.79%K -8.53%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-07 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -15.58%E -7.79%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -13.28%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -24.38%E -8.47%K -12.97%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-07 12:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-03-07 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-03-07 12:50