L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 48.22%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -4.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.24%48.43%47.84%50.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.851.9857.14%53.41%54.05%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.329%
Kelly +0.446%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.64%26.56%26.85%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.8032.26%29.03%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.535%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.178%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%25.01%25.31%27.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.554.0033.33%27.98%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.83%E -5.25%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV +1.25%E +0.329%K +0.446%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.01%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 17:23
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -2.75%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -0.722%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -2.75%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -0.722%E -0.183%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 17:24
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.75%E -0.753%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.50%EV -2.23%E -0.573%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 17:20
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 17:25
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 49.92%EV -12.24%E -6.72%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.45%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 24.62%EV -7.26%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 17:22
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.78%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 17:24
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 17:20
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -4.52%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 17:19
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV +0.535%E +0.134%K +0.178%G +0.001%8.5%2026-04-05 17:24
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 17:24
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 17:20
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 17:20
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 17:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 17:24
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 17:24
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 17:24
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -6.45%E -3.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 17:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 17:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 17:19
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -9.83%E -5.25%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 17:20
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.41%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -14.55%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-05 17:19
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 17:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 47.76%EV -15.61%E -8.92%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -19.57%E -6.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%19.6%2026-04-05 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -14.74%E -4.61%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -24.60%E -8.20%K -12.30%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-05 17:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -17.40%E -5.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-05 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-04-05 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%1.9%2026-04-05 17:25