L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 35.44%2.82cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.54%35.47%35.40%36.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.552.552.7042.02%39.16%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.29%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.68%38.24%38.35%39.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.372.352.5645.45%42.26%42.55%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.14%26.29%26.25%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.453.503.7034.72%28.98%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.32%EV -1.97%E -0.771%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 17:35
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.00%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86%EV -3.51%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 17:55
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.07%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.19%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 17:34
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.76%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 17:35
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -7.13%E -2.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.76%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 17:35
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.82%E -0.763%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 17:49
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 17:34
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -8.48%E -3.55%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.87%E -3.73%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 17:10
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.87%E -3.73%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 17:35
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 04:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 04:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -7.84%E -3.02%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 04:18
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:45
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:54
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:09
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:09
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:09
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:10
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.02%E -4.26%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 17:09
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 17:50
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 36.08%EV -10.68%E -4.24%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.57%EV -7.34%E -3.03%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 17:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.10%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:34
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.39%E -4.56%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.08%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:39
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -14.93%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-13 17:40
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -14.93%E -6.22%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 17:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -15.64%E -6.57%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -11.93%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.33%E -4.04%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-13 17:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 35.09%EV -15.64%E -6.57%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -15.76%E -7.16%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.94%EV -18.58%E -5.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-13 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 34.67%EV -15.64%E -6.57%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.68%EV -13.84%E -6.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.65%EV -24.36%E -8.46%K -12.96%G +0.000%21.2%2026-03-13 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.4%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.4%2026-03-13 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.75%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.4%2026-03-13 17:50