默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

最终结果: VfL Wolfsburg 3–2 Werder Bremen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg (主队)

预测 66.74%1.50公平赔率
EV -7.90%
优势 -5.72%
Kelly -20.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
64.45%66.75%66.84%68.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.361.381.3877.52%73.65%72.73%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Werder Bremen (客队)

预测 14.56%6.87公平赔率
EV -0.138%
优势 -0.020%
Kelly -0.024%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 6.86

博彩公司预测分布
13.23%14.43%14.67%15.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.965.806.8618.18%16.77%17.24%14.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.70%5.35公平赔率
EV -2.57%
优势 -0.493%
Kelly -0.611%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.21

博彩公司预测分布
17.84%18.82%18.48%20.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.524.405.2123.81%22.14%22.73%19.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:VfL Wolfsburg (主队):66.74%;Werder Bremen (客队):14.56%;平局:18.70%。 对于“Werder Bremen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.87。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为6.86,期望值为-0.138%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.45%EV -7.90%E -5.72%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -15.57%E -2.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.84%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.32%EV -5.52%E -0.851%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.84%EV -2.57%E -0.493%K -0.611%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.56%EV -8.56%E -6.25%K -23.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -6.50%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 04:34
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -9.23%E -6.79%K -25.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -17.72%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.25%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.23%EV -0.138%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -8.37%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -11.23%E -8.45%K -34.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -12.66%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -15.85%E -3.52%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -11.90%E -9.02%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.26%EV -1.01%E -0.149%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -8.37%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 06:29
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 64.86%EV -13.90%E -10.78%K -47.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -19.94%E -3.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.92%EV -21.46%E -5.11%K -6.71%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-06 04:33
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 64.86%EV -13.90%E -10.78%K -47.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.21%EV -19.94%E -3.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.92%EV -21.46%E -5.11%K -6.71%G +0.000%19.5%2026-09-06 04:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 65.35%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%12.5%2026-09-06 10:05