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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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TSG Hoffenheim v VfL Wolfsburg

开赛时间： 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

最终结果： TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

TSG Hoffenheim (主队)

预测 12.56%7.96公平赔率
EV +0.480%
优势 +0.060%
Kelly +0.069%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.29%12.72%12.56%14.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.957.008.0016.67%14.38%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfL Wolfsburg (客队)

预测 70.15%1.43公平赔率
EV -8.11%
优势 -6.19%
Kelly -26.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
67.89%69.93%70.15%72.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.54%78.74%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.29%5.78公平赔率
EV -4.89%
优势 -0.889%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
16.43%17.35%17.29%18.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.135.205.5021.74%19.51%19.23%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TSG Hoffenheim (主队)：12.56%；VfL Wolfsburg (客队)：70.15%；平局：17.29%。 对于“TSG Hoffenheim (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.96。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.00，对应+0.480%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV +0.480%E +0.060%K +0.069%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -12.32%E -9.85%K -49.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:19
Pinnacle🎯7.59I 13.18%NM 12.23%EV -4.67%E -0.615%K -0.709%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -8.11%E -6.19%K -26.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -4.89%E -0.889%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 15:25
1xBet🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 11.95%EV -5.17%E -0.685%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.03%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -8.35%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 14:25
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.21%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.21%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-18 14:30
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.00%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.00%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 12:00
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -12.08%E -1.73%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.14%EV -10.91%E -8.59%K -40.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -10.08%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 11:59
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -24.64%E -4.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.51%E -7.37%K -32.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -13.54%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -24.64%E -4.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -14.42%E -11.82%K -65.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -20.45%E -4.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%20.4%2026-09-18 15:29
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -24.64%E -4.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -14.42%E -11.82%K -65.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -20.45%E -4.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%20.4%2026-09-18 15:29
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎7.80I 12.82%NM 12.41%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.41%3.3%2026-09-18 15:25