L’École des cotes

VfL Bochum v Hannover 96

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

Score final : VfL Bochum 1–1 Hannover 96

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -0.874%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%29.68%29.63%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.123.143.3035.09%32.09%31.85%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.73%2.19cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -3.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.87%45.68%45.84%46.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.032.052.1052.63%49.33%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.58%4.07cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%24.64%24.54%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.713.704.0032.26%26.98%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.01%E -0.609%K -0.874%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -2.60%E -0.794%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.10%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.39%EV -2.43%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 05:14
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 05:14
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 05:14
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -3.50%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.69%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:24
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 02:09
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 02:09
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 02:09
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 05:11
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.98%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 22:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -1.69%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.44%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:09
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.30%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 02:09
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -6.12%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 05:14
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.12%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:15
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 05:14
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:09
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 02:09
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Suprabets3.14I 31.85%NM 29.74%EV -6.76%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.55%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -7.10%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 05:12
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -7.36%E -2.36%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.38%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:03
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 02:09
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 22:24
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 22:24
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 22:24
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 22:23
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 05:14
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 05:14
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 22:24
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 02:09
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 05:13
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.95%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 05:14
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.61%EV -8.84%E -2.88%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.15%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 02:09
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 02:09
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 02:09
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.58%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.03%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 02:09
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.44%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 02:09
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.44%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 02:09
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 02:09
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 19:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 19:30
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 22:24
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.92%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.56%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 02:09
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -13.89%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.81%EV -13.11%E -6.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 23:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.48%E -5.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -23.81%E -7.68%K -11.34%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-09 05:14
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -15.37%E -5.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-09 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-09 05:14
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-05-09 05:14
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-05-09 02:09