La escuela de los momios

SV Darmstadt 98 v Elversberg

Inicio: 2026-04-25 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Predicción 33.99%2.94momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.59%34.03%33.90%35.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.652.8540.00%37.36%37.74%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elversberg (Visitante)

Predicción 40.67%2.46momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.480%
Kelly -0.815%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.58%40.65%40.74%41.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.292.302.4347.62%43.68%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.338%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%25.32%25.36%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.604.0032.26%27.79%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.450%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-20 22:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -10.95%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:01
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 09:55
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 16:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.95%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.72%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 22:01
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 06:34
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:54
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -11.63%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 16:55
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 33.84%EV -4.15%E -1.47%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.44%EV -4.01%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.72%EV -6.00%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 19:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:05
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 08:11
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.95%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 08:28
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:34
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -8.89%E -3.97%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:33
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.83%EV -3.47%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -8.89%E -3.97%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:30
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 22:34
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -7.55%E -2.78%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.92%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 01:15
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -7.55%E -2.78%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.92%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 01:20
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.70%EV -5.51%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -6.05%E -2.62%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.74%EV -7.77%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 12:24
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -5.85%E -2.11%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -6.86%E -3.00%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.77%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 08:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 18:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -1.17%E -0.480%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.38%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.58%EV -1.17%E -0.480%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:55
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:50
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:50
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:50
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 16:49
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 08:09
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:50
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:50
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 19:44
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 33.88%EV -7.89%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -11.63%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -4.42%E -1.88%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 33.40%EV -9.25%E -3.46%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.55%E -5.84%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 18:33
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.24%EV -9.93%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.95%EV -14.59%E -6.95%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.05%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-23 18:35
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.45%E -2.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 12:33
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -14.59%E -6.95%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -7.27%E -3.19%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-19 16:55
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 33.82%EV -12.65%E -4.92%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.99%EV -13.77%E -6.50%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -12.58%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-22 08:09
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 16:20
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 16:20
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.61%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.95%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 16:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.95%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 16:04
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -8.49%E -3.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -15.03%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -10.52%E -4.78%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -21.45%E -6.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-22 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-23 13:30
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 34.88%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%3.9%2026-04-23 20:50
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%4.0%2026-04-23 17:00
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 33.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%5.9%2026-04-24 00:30