La escuela de los momios

SC Preußen Münster v 1. FC Magdeburg

Inicio: 2026-03-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Predicción 31.32%3.19momio equitativo
EV +0.539%
Ventaja +0.168%
Kelly +0.244%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.00%31.32%31.35%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.892.903.2138.02%34.62%34.48%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante)

Predicción 42.60%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.61%42.59%42.60%43.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.172.3051.28%45.90%46.08%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.09%26.05%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.523.553.7133.33%28.43%28.17%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.14%EV +0.539%E +0.168%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.78%EV -5.85%E -2.65%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -3.24%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -1.03%E -0.325%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.43%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 12:14
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.51%EV -1.03%E -0.325%K -0.476%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.43%EV -5.43%E -2.45%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 12:15
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.21%EV -1.65%E -0.527%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.72%EV -7.56%E -3.48%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -5.07%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 12:15
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.91%E -0.938%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 11:45
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.91%E -0.938%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 10:33
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.35%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -7.16%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 12:14
Suprabets3.02I 33.11%NM 30.95%EV -5.41%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -7.56%E -3.48%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 10:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.81%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 07:44
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:10
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:47
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:09
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 11:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:39
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 10:34
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 07:39
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 07:44
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -4.58%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 07:45
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.50%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 01:24
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 07:44
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.54%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 07:44
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.63%EV -8.54%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.98%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 07:44
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 09:59
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.28%E -2.85%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 09:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 11:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 12:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 12:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 11:59
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 10:33
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 10:34
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 07:45
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -10.74%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 12:18
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -11.36%E -4.02%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.48%EV -10.54%E -5.02%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -10.55%E -3.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 12:04
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -2.02%E -0.879%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.81%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 07:44
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -2.02%E -0.879%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.81%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 07:45
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 01:23
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 01:25
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.41%E -3.91%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 01:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -14.80%E -7.40%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -21.76%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-22 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:44
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:44
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:44
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:45
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -2.87%E -1.26%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 07:44
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 07:44
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 07:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -13.87%E -5.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -4.15%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 07:44
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.43%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.67%E -6.18%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 07:44
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.85%EV -15.43%E -5.72%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.71%EV -16.93%E -8.68%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -17.85%E -5.67%K -8.30%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-22 11:34
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -17.63%E -6.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.75%EV -7.56%E -3.48%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 07:44
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -17.63%E -6.70%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.75%EV -7.56%E -3.48%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -10.02%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-22 07:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 11:39
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-03-22 11:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-03-22 12:10
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%3.1%2026-03-22 12:10