La escuela de los momios

Karlsruher SC v Hannover 96

Inicio: 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.695%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.224%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.96%24.19%24.20%25.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.833.804.1029.41%26.13%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 52.33%1.91momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -5.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.54%52.43%52.31%53.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.751.8360.61%56.94%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.45%4.26momio equitativo
EV +0.840%
Ventaja +0.195%
Kelly +0.255%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.93%23.39%23.49%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.903.954.3030.30%25.62%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV +0.840%E +0.195%K +0.255%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-18 21:40
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 23.97%EV -3.84%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.16%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.87%EV -2.44%E -0.587%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 18:29
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.12%EV -5.78%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.00%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 07:40
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.83%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 07:34
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:04
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.85%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 11:30
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.76%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 21:45
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 11:03
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -0.695%E -0.169%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -0.695%E -0.169%K -0.224%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.90%E -4.49%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 11:10
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 07:01
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 11:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 15:20
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 07:04
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:38
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:33
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.19%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 22:00
Suprabets3.79I 26.39%NM 24.18%EV -8.20%E -2.16%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.67%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.14%EV -7.13%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:09
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -6.33%E -3.54%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.49%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:10
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:25
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -7.37%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 11:29
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:05
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 19:34
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.95%EV -6.86%E -3.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:10
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.12%E -0.779%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:10
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 21:44
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.54%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 21:19
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.80%EV -9.71%E -2.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-20 21:14
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.59%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.22%EV -10.52%E -6.15%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.32%EV -10.18%E -2.66%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 11:05
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:05
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:10
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -9.17%E -2.45%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -11.59%E -3.18%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.42%EV -11.57%E -6.84%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 11:05
NetBet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.81%E -3.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.84%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -10.89%E -2.86%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 06:35
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 11:34
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:10
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -12.61%E -7.55%K -18.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:10
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.96%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -13.66%E -8.28%K -21.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 11:10
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -17.65%E -5.19%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.49%EV -12.09%E -7.20%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -12.06%E -3.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-22 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.43%E -4.81%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.58%E -4.33%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -15.23%E -4.35%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -9.47%E -5.48%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -22.61%E -6.85%K -9.83%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-22 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.83%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%2.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%2.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.56%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%2.6%2026-04-24 01:50
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%3.8%2026-04-23 21:10
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.87%4.8%2026-04-24 01:20