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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Hannover 96 v VfL Bochum

Inicio: 2026-09-20 11:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 2–1 VfL Bochum

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 48.95%2.04momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -3.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.84%49.13%48.87%51.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.881.9758.14%53.79%53.19%50.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV +1.44%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.513%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.55%26.80%28.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.513.503.8030.77%28.49%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.36%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -0.859%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%24.32%24.33%25.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.813.804.0028.57%26.25%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hannover 96 (Local): 48.95%; VfL Bochum (Visitante): 26.69%; Empate: 24.36%. Para VfL Bochum (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.75. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +1.44%E +0.378%K +0.513%G +0.007%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.76%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV +1.44%E +0.378%K +0.513%G +0.007%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 10:39
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:09
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:10
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -10.91%E -5.99%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV +0.101%E +0.027%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.06%EV -3.57%E -1.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -0.166%E -0.044%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 11:15
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.23%E -0.334%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Suprabets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -11.10%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:18
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.39%EV -13.85%E -7.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -14.34%E -8.19%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -14.34%E -8.19%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -3.90%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:09
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.72%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.27%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.98%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.14%EV -4.97%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.88%EV -8.91%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -4.55%E -2.33%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -14.83%E -8.52%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -14.83%E -8.52%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:09
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.58%E -0.644%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -5.53%E -2.86%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.59%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.44%E -5.10%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -15.80%E -9.19%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -6.57%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 11:10
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:07
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:22
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.46%E -4.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -5.01%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:09
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:04
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.46%E -4.53%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:04
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -14.75%E -4.22%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.89%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:40
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.89%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.89%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:39
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.89%E -6.60%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 10:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.82%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -3.79%E -0.961%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 11:04
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.58%E -3.16%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.40%E -6.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -13.54%E -3.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 11:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -12.87%E -7.23%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.91%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -11.10%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.50%E -3.41%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.45%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -9.93%E -5.40%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -11.40%E -6.30%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.25%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.32%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-09-20 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-09-20 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-09-20 11:19
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.09%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-09-20 11:24
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-20 11:15