L’École des cotes

Hannover 96 v 1. FC Nürnberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Score final : Hannover 96 3–3 1. FC Nürnberg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 62.32%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -7.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%62.25%62.41%64.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.471.481.5472.99%67.85%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.29%5.78cote équitable
EV +8.05%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.26%17.29%17.17%19.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.395.506.2521.74%18.54%18.18%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.559%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.68%20.46%20.42%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.494.504.8027.78%22.26%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.58%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV +8.05%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.123%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -3.14%E -0.661%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV +3.73%E +0.621%K +0.746%G +0.028%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.71%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.271%E +0.047%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 20:24
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 63.85%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +0.271%E +0.047%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 20:24
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:25
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:25
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:24
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:34
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:24
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 20:24
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.593%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 20:24
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.15%EV -3.71%E -0.665%K -0.811%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.02%EV -2.73%E -0.573%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.90%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.14%E -0.661%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:35
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -7.77%E -5.25%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -4.16%E -0.885%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:38
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:40
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 08:06
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 08:05
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 10:34
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -12.75%E -9.11%K -31.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -4.92%E -0.894%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 10:34
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -6.64%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -6.64%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.16%EV -5.18%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.64%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -6.64%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.18%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.58%EV -14.00%E -10.14%K -36.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -6.64%E -1.23%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.17%EV -11.30%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 10:34
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -8.24%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.10%EV -8.39%E -5.71%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.24%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -2.12%E -0.442%K -0.559%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.21%EV -14.62%E -10.67%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.65%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.14%EV -12.32%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-17 08:15
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -10.97%E -2.13%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.41%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -10.97%E -2.13%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.70%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.20%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.71%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.71%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.71%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -10.28%E -2.34%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.59%E -7.39%K -10.23%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.83%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.06%EV -16.15%E -3.33%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -15.38%E -3.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.26%E -7.12%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -17.02%E -3.55%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.52%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.08%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -12.32%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.47%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.10%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.62%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.70%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.67%1.8%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.55%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.12%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.33%2.5%2026-05-17 10:40