L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v Hannover 96

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

24 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 30.85%3.24cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.71%30.84%30.59%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.953.1037.04%34.25%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.35%2.25cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.25%44.34%44.53%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.72%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.80%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.782%
Avantage -0.195%
Kelly -0.261%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%24.83%24.88%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.633.604.0030.77%27.53%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 13:35
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.35%EV -7.31%E -3.50%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:40
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -7.76%E -3.73%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:14
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.60%EV -5.61%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.96%EV -5.54%E -2.60%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.72%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 01:05
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -5.61%E -1.83%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.43%E -3.05%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.72%E -2.37%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 01:00
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.782%E -0.195%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 00:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 05:34
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.46%E -2.49%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -10.42%E -5.16%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 07:31
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.65%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 05:55
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.20%EV -5.98%E -2.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 06:00
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.26%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 05:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -6.87%E -3.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 21:14
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -10.54%E -3.64%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -13.97%E -7.20%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 25.87%EV -17.40%E -5.23%K -7.47%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-25 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.75%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.16%EV -14.85%E -7.74%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.09%EV -19.39%E -5.96%K -8.62%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-25 11:35
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 05:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -13.63%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.09%E -4.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-14 12:58
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.62%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 43.86%EV -14.85%E -7.74%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -18.15%E -5.50%K -7.89%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-13 05:34
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.60%EV -15.17%E -5.52%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.29%EV -15.74%E -8.28%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.12%EV -16.90%E -5.05%K -7.19%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 13:43
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -16.71%E -6.19%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -11.30%E -5.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-13 05:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 30.08%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%16.2%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 34.46%1.29I 77.52%NM 34.46%1.43I 69.93%NM 31.08%125.0%2026-07-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 34.46%1.29I 77.52%NM 34.46%1.43I 69.93%NM 31.08%125.0%2026-07-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 29.18%1.04I 96.15%NM 35.07%1.02I 98.04%NM 35.76%174.2%2026-07-23 13:40