Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eintracht Braunschweig v VfL Bochum

2026-08-14 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Previsão 35.78%2.79odd justa
EV -4.82%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.24%35.82%35.78%36.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.552.582.6642.55%39.22%38.76%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Previsão 35.46%2.82odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.01%35.61%35.47%36.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.602.7141.67%39.04%38.46%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.75%3.48odd justa
EV +0.640%
Vantagem +0.183%
Kelly +0.256%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.57%28.75%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.193.203.5033.90%31.30%31.25%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 35.78%; VfL Bochum (Visitante): 35.46%; Empate: 28.75%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.50, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +0.640%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV +0.640%E +0.183%K +0.256%G +0.002%4.8%2026-08-08 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.76%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.23%E -0.657%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.76%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.23%E -0.657%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -4.82%E -1.81%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.24%EV -3.89%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.85%EV -4.82%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:35
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 11:48
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 12:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:49
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -6.38%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.88%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -6.38%E -2.42%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:24
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -7.68%E -2.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.28%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.76%E -3.43%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.99%E -2.50%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.72%EV -8.04%E -3.13%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.96%EV -8.85%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 11:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.12%E -5.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.11%E -5.35%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.42%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 11:35
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 12:15
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 12:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.09%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:29
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:30
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.54%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -14.12%E -5.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.34%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.51%EV -11.72%E -3.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -14.12%E -5.88%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.88%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -12.30%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-08 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -12.33%E -5.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -13.74%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-08 11:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.03%EV -15.91%E -6.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.28%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.70%EV -15.17%E -5.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%18.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 36.47%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.04%7.1%2026-08-08 13:10
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%13.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-08 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-08 11:50