La escuela de los momios

Eintracht Braunschweig v Hertha Berlin

Inicio: 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Hertha Berlin

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Predicción 30.78%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.79%30.83%32.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.953.2136.36%33.73%33.90%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hertha Berlin (Visitante)

Predicción 42.75%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.40%42.74%42.73%43.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.202.2850.00%46.09%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.54%26.47%26.44%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.7033.33%28.87%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.21I 31.15%NM 30.17%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.85%EV -3.39%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.98%EV -4.95%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 11:15
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -3.06%E -0.971%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.39%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 11:04
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -3.06%E -0.971%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.39%E -1.50%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 11:05
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.36%E -0.921%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 09:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.04%E -0.550%K -0.754%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 05:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:05
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:15
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.60%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Suprabets3.07I 32.57%NM 30.43%EV -5.52%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:08
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.53%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 06:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 10:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:09
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:05
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.44%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -8.52%E -3.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 05:43
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 06:50
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 07:50
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:25
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 09:45
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:20
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.23%E -4.87%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 11:01
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -8.29%E -2.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 06:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -8.29%E -2.78%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 06:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:05
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:05
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:45
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -4.67%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 06:50
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.94%EV -11.08%E -5.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 11:02
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.23%E -4.87%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 11:00
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 05:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 05:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 05:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 05:40
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.05%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.14%EV -13.65%E -6.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 11:20
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.37%E -3.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.37%E -3.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.50%E -7.25%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.57%E -6.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-19 10:01
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -8.52%E -3.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 10:45
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.61%EV -8.52%E -3.98%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 10:45
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -15.37%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -9.37%E -4.42%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 10:45
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -15.37%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.37%E -6.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-19 06:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-04-19 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-19 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-19 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-04-19 11:05
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-19 11:10