Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eintracht Braunschweig v Hannover 96

2026-10-25 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Predicción 31.12%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.410%
Ventaja -0.128%
Kelly -0.186%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.39%31.05%31.09%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.962.953.2037.74%33.83%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 44.25%2.26momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -4.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.14%44.28%44.26%45.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.062.082.1552.63%48.48%48.08%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.63%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.369%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.34%24.67%24.65%26.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.774.0028.57%26.73%26.49%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 31.12%; Hannover 96 (Visitante): 44.25%; Empate: 24.63%. Para Eintracht Braunschweig (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.21. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.20, con un valor esperado de -0.410%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -0.410%E -0.128%K -0.186%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 14:29
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.47%E -0.369%K -0.491%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 12:49
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:14
1xBet🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.51%EV -3.83%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.32%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 13:14
Pinnacle🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.02%EV -4.46%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.68%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.97%E -3.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -1.47%E -0.369%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 12:54
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:34
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:35
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:34
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 12:35
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.47%E -0.369%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 12:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.47%E -0.369%K -0.491%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 14:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.63%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 16:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.03%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.03%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -3.94%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:54
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.44%EV -9.74%E -4.77%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.10%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 12:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.63%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.43%EV -5.75%E -2.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -7.63%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 20:09
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.10%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 20:05
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.26%EV -6.20%E -2.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.10%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 20:09
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.40%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.29%EV -10.62%E -5.26%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.33%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -9.29%E -4.53%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.63%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 12:54
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -11.30%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.08%E -3.37%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.86%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 20:09
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -13.72%E -7.04%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -13.79%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.17%EV -15.93%E -8.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.18%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-18 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 31.51%EV -13.48%E -4.85%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-18 20:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -15.97%E -5.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -10.10%E -2.77%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-18 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.56%EV -17.53%E -6.61%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.14%EV -11.51%E -5.75%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -12.56%E -3.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-18 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.26%16.4%2026-10-18 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 43.05%1.26I 79.37%NM 43.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 13.91%84.4%2026-10-18 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 43.05%1.26I 79.37%NM 43.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 13.91%84.4%2026-10-18 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 31.79%1.26I 79.37%NM 31.79%1.10I 90.91%NM 36.42%149.6%2026-10-18 14:44