مدرسة الاحتمالات

1. FC Magdeburg v Hertha Berlin

البداية: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: 1. FC Magdeburg 1–0 Hertha Berlin

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.11%2.12السعر العادل
EV -3.42%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -3.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.60%47.12%47.11%48.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.33%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hertha Berlin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.77%3.48السعر العادل
EV -1.31%
الأفضلية -0.380%
Kelly -0.537%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.64%28.84%28.73%29.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.233.253.4334.72%30.99%30.77%29.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.11%4.15السعر العادل
EV +1.27%
الأفضلية +0.303%
Kelly +0.398%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.77%24.04%24.16%25.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.803.804.2030.30%26.30%26.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.81%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV +1.27%E +0.303%K +0.398%G +0.005%4.6%2026-05-03 11:15
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.19%EV -5.30%E -2.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -1.31%E -0.380%K -0.537%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.57%EV -0.896%E -0.218%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -1.14%E -0.277%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.55%E -0.887%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.55%E -0.887%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 11:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -3.55%E -0.887%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:16
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.55%E -0.887%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.75%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.09%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -4.75%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:21
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:14
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:15
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:20
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.59%EV -6.72%E -3.39%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.96%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -6.44%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.47%EV -4.36%E -2.15%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:41
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.66%E -3.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -2.17%E -0.638%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -7.66%E -3.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -2.17%E -0.638%K -0.903%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.17%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 11:20
Suprabets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.40%EV -7.19%E -3.65%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.21%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.38%EV -7.65%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:03
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:38
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -8.60%E -4.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -3.61%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:41
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -5.77%E -2.89%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:41
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:16
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:50
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -9.54%E -4.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -8.37%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:41
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:40
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.48%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.58%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.78%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -10.49%E -5.52%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.78%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.35%EV -10.49%E -5.52%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%EV -15.12%E -5.12%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -10.78%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-03 10:41
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.48%EV -9.54%E -4.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.07%EV -11.66%E -3.80%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -11.99%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 11:05
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.83%EV -12.37%E -6.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -11.99%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 47.83%EV -12.37%E -6.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -7.92%E -2.48%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -11.99%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 10:45
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.59%EV -13.78%E -7.53%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -12.24%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.86%EV -11.99%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 11:16
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 11:15
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -13.78%E -7.53%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -9.36%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -13.19%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.60%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.58%EV -17.13%E -5.95%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -20.43%E -6.19%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-03 11:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-05-03 11:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%2.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-05-03 11:25