L’École des cotes

1. FC Magdeburg v Eintracht Braunschweig

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

24 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prévision 54.77%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -5.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.07%54.76%54.71%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.671.691.7565.36%59.87%59.17%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.86%4.57cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.26%21.88%21.79%22.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.114.154.3527.03%24.35%24.10%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.37%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%23.35%23.50%24.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.853.904.2028.57%25.95%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (24 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.16%E -2.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 14:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.44%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.88%EV -5.35%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 06:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.83%E -0.437%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 07:40
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.53%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.02%EV -6.88%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 06:24
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 06:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 21:14
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 06:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 05:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 06:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -7.44%E -4.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.10%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 09:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.44%E -4.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 09:15
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -7.44%E -4.40%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.01%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -7.99%E -4.76%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.04%EV -7.99%E -4.76%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -4.91%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -7.99%E -4.76%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.19%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 05:59
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.63%E -5.84%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.63%E -5.84%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -12.57%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 09:14
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.63%E -5.84%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.38%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 07:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.13%EV -11.27%E -6.96%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -18.03%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-17 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.31%EV -12.92%E -8.12%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.70%EV -13.00%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-24 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.42%EV -13.47%E -8.52%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.81%EV -19.12%E -5.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.77%EV -17.03%E -4.80%K -6.68%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-13 06:00
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.02%EV -14.01%E -8.93%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -18.20%E -5.20%K -7.28%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-24 11:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.03%EV -16.20%E -10.59%K -30.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.59%EV -14.75%E -3.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.39%EV -15.86%E -4.41%K -6.10%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 13:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 53.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.22%16.3%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-13 12:15