Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Heidenheim v Dynamo Dresden

Início: 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 5–3 Dynamo Dresden

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Heidenheim (Local)

Previsão 43.06%2.32odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.72%43.07%43.09%45.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.152.152.2349.50%46.50%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Previsão 31.30%3.19odd justa
EV +6.42%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescimento +0.172%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.94%31.29%31.33%33.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.922.903.4037.74%34.27%34.48%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.64%3.90odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.337%
Kelly -0.455%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.77%25.64%25.58%26.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.77%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Heidenheim (Local): 43.06%; Dynamo Dresden (Visitante): 31.30%; Empate: 25.64%. Para Dynamo Dresden (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +6.42%E +1.89%K +2.68%G +0.172%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -9.24%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV +0.162%E +0.051%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:50
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.62%EV -4.40%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -1.72%E -0.546%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -2.83%E -0.748%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -2.97%E -0.957%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 10:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:49
Suprabets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -6.99%E -3.23%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.77%EV -4.85%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -7.45%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:27
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.30%E -0.337%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 10:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 10:38
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 10:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.10%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.57%EV -7.85%E -3.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.35%E -2.48%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.66%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -11.55%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.95%EV -8.29%E -2.83%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -11.55%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 10:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:25
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 10:25
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -6.12%E -2.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:45
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.23%E -3.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 10:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 10:30
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.72%E -5.72%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -9.85%E -3.42%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.17%E -3.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:31
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.17%E -3.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:31
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -3.97%E -1.78%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -10.79%E -3.79%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.58%E -0.679%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.36%E -4.41%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.27%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.92%EV -6.99%E -3.23%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.01%E -6.44%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -13.92%E -5.06%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-29 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -15.49%E -5.74%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -15.49%E -5.74%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.71%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.72%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -17.05%E -6.44%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.72%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -17.05%E -6.44%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.72%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -17.05%E -6.44%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 43.41%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.28%-1.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-29 10:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-08-29 10:55
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-08-29 10:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-08-29 10:55