Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC Köln

2026-09-04 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

VfB Stuttgart (Casa)

Previsione 65.53%1.53quota equa
EV -0.396%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.762%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.17%65.52%65.39%67.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.5273.53%70.50%70.42%65.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

1. FC Köln (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.41%6.09quota equa
EV +6.69%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.081%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.88%16.35%16.53%18.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.705.665.506.5021.28%17.67%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.06%5.54quota equa
EV -0.682%
Vantaggio -0.124%
Kelly -0.152%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.26%18.12%18.08%19.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.005.005.5021.74%20.00%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: VfB Stuttgart (Casa): 65.53%; 1. FC Köln (Trasferta): 16.41%; Pareggio: 18.06%. Per 1. FC Köln (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 6.09. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.69%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.70%EV -4.98%E -3.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +6.69%E +1.03%K +1.22%G +0.081%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.42%EV -5.20%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.88%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +2.58%E +0.413%K +0.492%G +0.013%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.92%EV -4.29%E -0.810%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:10
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%EV -0.396%E -0.261%K -0.762%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.99%EV +1.11%E +0.180%K +0.215%G +0.002%5.13I 19.49%NM 19.20%EV -7.36%E -1.44%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-23 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -5.20%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 12:10
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.26%E -5.90%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.20%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:00
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.92%EV -7.60%E -5.39%K -18.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 12:10
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.26%E -5.90%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.26%EV -10.23%E -7.46%K -27.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -4.29%E -0.810%K -0.998%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.88%E -8.00%K -30.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -1.52%E -0.253%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 12:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.25%EV -4.33%E -2.96%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.80%E -0.828%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.32%EV -6.10%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -5.62%E -0.978%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.20%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.98%E -3.44%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -0.682%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.68%EV -6.29%E -4.40%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 11:44
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -16.93%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 12:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -16.93%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -16.93%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -5.64%E -3.92%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -16.93%E -3.68%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 12:05
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.22%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.73%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -14.23%E -2.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -8.26%E -5.90%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.85%EV -8.26%E -5.90%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.37%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.34%EV -10.61%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 11:43
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.33%EV -6.95%E -4.89%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.40%EV -13.83%E -2.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -10.88%E -8.00%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -17.93%E -3.59%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -9.71%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.73%EV -9.57%E -6.94%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.95%EV -19.57%E -3.99%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -13.32%E -2.78%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-23 11:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.17%EV -10.23%E -7.46%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.41%EV -22.86%E -4.86%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.41%EV -15.13%E -3.22%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-23 11:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 66.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.05%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.94%5.9%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 26.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 36.55%1.06I 94.34%NM 36.55%158.1%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 26.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 36.55%1.06I 94.34%NM 36.55%158.1%2026-08-23 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42%187.7%2026-08-23 12:30
Arbitraggio (2 combinazioni) +0.65%1xBet 1.52 (66.2%) / Coolbet 6.50 (15.5%) / Tipico (DE) 5.50 (18.3%)Mostra tutte le 2 combinazioni
VfB Stuttgart (Casa)1. FC Köln (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.2%)Coolbet🎯 6.50 (15.5%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.50 (18.3%)+0.648%
1xBet🎯 1.52 (65.8%)SportsBet🎯 6.25 (16.0%)Tipico (DE)🎯 5.50 (18.2%)+0.029%