语言:简体中文
Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen
胜负盘
Borussia Dortmund (主队)
预测 66.81%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -2.15%
Kelly -6.93%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
64.78%66.96%66.58%69.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.381.381.4575.19%72.43%72.20%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Werder Bremen (客队)
预测 14.90%6.71公平赔率
EV +4.30%
优势 +0.614%
Kelly +0.717%
增长率 +0.031%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.48%14.88%15.00%16.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.106.116.007.0019.61%16.37%16.67%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.29%5.47公平赔率
EV +4.23%
优势 +0.743%
Kelly +0.901%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 5.70
博彩公司预测分布
16.64%18.16%18.42%19.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.044.905.7021.28%19.83%20.41%17.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Borussia Dortmund (主队)：66.81%；Werder Bremen (客队)：14.90%；平局：18.29%。 对于“Werder Bremen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.71。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为7.00，由此产生+4.30%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -8.47%E -6.18%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.15%EV -0.170%E -0.025%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV +4.23%E +0.743%K +0.901%G +0.038% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.04%EV -3.12%E -2.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 14.15%EV +3.85%E +0.553%K +0.645%G +0.025% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.81%EV +1.31%E +0.236%K +0.288%G +0.004% | 1.4% | 2026-09-16 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -9.13%E -6.72%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +4.30%E +0.614%K +0.717%G +0.031% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV +0.576%E +0.105%K +0.128%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.35%EV -5.12%E -3.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.94%EV -4.64%E -0.725%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -1.25%E -0.232%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.91%EV -7.13%E -5.13%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.17%EV -0.766%E -0.115%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.91%EV -3.63%E -0.689%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 14:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.15%EV -7.80%E -5.65%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +0.575%E +0.085%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -4.00%E -0.761%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.57%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-16 16:16 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.57%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.48%EV -9.13%E -6.72%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -10.40%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.35%EV -9.80%E -7.26%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.65%EV -21.03%E -3.97%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -10.40%E -2.12%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-16 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.09%EV -9.80%E -7.26%K -28.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -11.31%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.22%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.22%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.22%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.22%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.02%EV -11.14%E -8.37%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -16.56%E -2.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.29%EV -12.22%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.13%E -6.72%K -25.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -10.60%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -13.14%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.78%EV -11.14%E -8.37%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.89%EV -24.01%E -4.71%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.33%EV -14.05%E -2.99%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-16 16:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 64.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11% | 16.3% | 2026-09-16 16:15 |