La escuela de los momios

Troyes v USL Dunkerque

Inicio: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Troyes (Local)

Predicción 53.02%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.23%52.92%53.08%54.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.77%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

USL Dunkerque (Visitante)

Predicción 21.79%4.59momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.514%
Kelly +0.652%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.39%21.79%21.75%23.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.154.204.7026.67%24.09%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.19%3.97momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.29%25.17%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.603.603.8531.25%27.77%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.45%EV -6.69%E -3.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV +2.41%E +0.514%K +0.652%G +0.016%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 12:35
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.44%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV +1.32%E +0.285%K +0.363%G +0.005%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 12:28
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.50%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.855%E -0.188%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 12:29
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.50%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.16%EV -0.855%E -0.188%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 12:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.94%E -0.432%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.94%E -0.432%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 12:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.97%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -3.03%E -0.682%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:33
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 53.97%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -3.03%E -0.682%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:35
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.12%E -0.937%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.01%E -0.783%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 12:29
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -4.12%E -0.937%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.30%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 12:34
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.81%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.12%E -0.937%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:30
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.48%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 12:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.87%E -5.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:30
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.87%E -5.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.62%EV -9.87%E -5.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.05%EV -5.65%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.30%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 12:00
Suprabets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.77%EV -10.40%E -6.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.30%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.10%EV -8.81%E -2.43%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:34
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -5.63%E -3.16%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 12:30
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.39%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 12:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 12:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 10:35
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:29
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 12:29
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.87%E -5.80%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -8.48%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 12:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -9.57%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.60%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.18%EV -9.57%E -2.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 12:29
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 10:59
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 12:29
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.75%E -4.45%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 12:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -8.81%E -5.12%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.66%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:35
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 12:29
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 09:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.22%E -4.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 09:25
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.46%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-21 10:35
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -2.98%E -1.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -4.04%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -4.04%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -4.04%E -2.23%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -16.11%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -11.46%E -6.86%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -18.29%E -4.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -19.39%E -6.06%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-21 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.04%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-03-21 12:35