La escuela de los momios

Stade Lavallois v Nancy

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 37.03%2.70momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.63%36.89%37.11%38.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.482.6344.44%40.15%40.32%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nancy (Visitante)

Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.672%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.75%31.43%31.20%33.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.892.903.1538.02%34.64%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.68%3.16momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%31.68%31.69%33.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.923.0837.04%34.35%34.25%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -2.60%E -0.989%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:00
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -3.63%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 19:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:00
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.84%EV -13.02%E -4.68%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.20%EV -4.08%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.58%EV -1.44%E -0.458%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -5.28%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -3.01%E -0.970%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 18:59
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 18:59
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:56
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -15.52%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 19:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 18:59
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:57
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 18:59
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.65%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -5.51%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.44%EV -5.91%E -1.99%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.67%EV -8.64%E -2.96%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -5.60%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 18:59
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 35.55%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.52%EV -17.71%E -6.74%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-27 19:00
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -8.53%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 18:58
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -8.53%E -3.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 18:59
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.58%EV -8.90%E -3.62%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -3.01%E -0.970%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.81%EV -2.43%E -0.789%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:59
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -4.57%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.01%E -0.970%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 18:59
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 18:58
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:59
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 18:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 19:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 18:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -9.08%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -9.08%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 19:00
Suprabets2.43I 41.15%NM 37.38%EV -10.01%E -4.12%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.18%EV -5.82%E -1.93%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:58
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.70%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 18:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -9.08%E -3.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -10.83%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.85%EV -7.50%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-27 18:58
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -14.47%E -5.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 19:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:59
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -8.77%E -3.04%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.30%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -16.67%E -7.41%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -12.39%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.5%2026-02-27 19:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%1.1%2026-02-27 19:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.70%2.6%2026-02-27 19:00