La escuela de los momios

Stade de Reims v Pau FC

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade de Reims 5–3 Pau FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stade de Reims (Local)

Predicción 70.35%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -3.18%
Kelly -12.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.49%70.26%70.34%71.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.331.3680.00%75.80%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pau FC (Visitante)

Predicción 12.16%8.22momio equitativo
EV +6.39%
Ventaja +0.731%
Kelly +0.825%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.91%12.19%12.26%13.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.497.508.7515.38%13.36%13.33%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.49%5.72momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.52%17.55%17.40%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.005.6022.22%19.61%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +6.39%E +0.731%K +0.825%G +0.053%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.81%E -0.693%K -0.847%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +3.35%E +0.395%K +0.447%G +0.015%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV +2.14%E +0.255%K +0.289%G +0.006%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -4.69%E -0.860%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.66%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.09%EV +2.14%E +0.255%K +0.289%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.66%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.09%EV +2.14%E +0.255%K +0.289%G +0.006%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.19%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.41%EV +0.923%E +0.111%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.40%EV -4.86%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:50
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -3.81%E -0.693%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:48
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.81%E -0.693%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:53
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:34
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:35
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:04
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:09
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -9.95%E -7.77%K -35.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -2.72%E -0.341%K -0.389%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 13:35
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.16%E -0.661%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -9.06%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 17:45
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV -5.76%E -0.744%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.06%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:32
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 70.38%EV -7.84%E -5.98%K -25.29%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.90%EV -5.76%E -0.744%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.06%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:34
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -7.59%E -0.999%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 05:20
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 05:20
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 05:20
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:39
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.15%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.52%EV -2.06%E -0.368%K -0.448%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:44
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -5.73%E -4.28%K -16.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 05:20
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -19.55%E -4.25%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:39
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.95%E -7.77%K -35.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.06%E -9.65%K -48.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -12.06%E -9.65%K -48.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -8.80%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.30%E -4.73%K -6.09%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-09 17:44
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -11.84%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.94%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -11.84%E -1.63%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -5.56%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:38
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.53%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.02%EV -13.67%E -1.93%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.31%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.53%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.02%EV -13.67%E -1.93%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.31%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.96%EV -13.67%E -1.93%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -7.31%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:39
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.03%E -3.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.18%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:39
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 05:20
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -14.30%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 05:20
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.25%E -7.17%K -31.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:44
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -9.25%E -7.17%K -31.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -14.88%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -16.93%E -3.56%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 16:49
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.29%EV -5.03%E -3.72%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.52%EV -15.86%E -2.29%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.19%EV -4.86%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:49
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.58%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.31%EV -17.32%E -2.55%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -17.92%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.81%E -0.693%K -0.847%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -17.92%E -2.66%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -3.81%E -0.693%K -0.847%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:39
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.96%E -3.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.96%E -3.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.96%E -3.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.43%E -4.84%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.96%E -3.23%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -16.05%E -3.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.97%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.40%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%1.6%2026-05-09 17:55