L’École des cotes

SC Bastia v Boulogne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Bastia (Local)

Prévision 47.22%2.12cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.51%47.18%47.15%49.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.981.992.0754.64%50.58%50.25%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boulogne (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.47%4.45cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.731%
Kelly +0.934%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.24%22.55%22.50%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.994.004.6027.78%25.07%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.31%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -0.800%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%30.27%30.35%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.033.023.2436.36%32.99%33.06%30.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV +3.36%E +0.731%K +0.934%G +0.031%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.49%EV +0.442%E +0.099%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.74%EV -2.10%E -0.649%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.90%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.13%E -0.257%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -1.79%E -0.553%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.90%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -1.13%E -0.257%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.43%EV -1.79%E -0.553%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 18:55
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.65%EV -1.13%E -0.257%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -4.52%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:50
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.13%E -0.257%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -1.13%E -0.257%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:40
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.46%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.72%EV -1.80%E -0.413%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.82%EV -6.64%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -11.70%E -6.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.38%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -3.00%E -0.939%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.66%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:50
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -5.43%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 18:54
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.54%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.50%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.00%E -0.939%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.19%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 18:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:53
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 18:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:24
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -11.70%E -6.26%K -13.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -6.95%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:35
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.17%EV -8.40%E -4.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 18:49
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-13 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 14:09
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:50
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.04%EV -8.87%E -4.59%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.61%EV -12.65%E -6.84%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.10%EV -13.59%E -7.43%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.35%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-13 18:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.67%E -3.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 14:09
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -11.24%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.67%E -3.25%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 14:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -12.37%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 14:08
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -12.37%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -10.58%E -3.59%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 14:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -13.49%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 14:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -13.49%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -6.04%E -1.95%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 14:09
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 12:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.81%E -5.14%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -14.61%E -3.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-13 17:14
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -16.86%E -4.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 18:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -16.86%E -4.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -16.86%E -4.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -16.86%E -4.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.10%E -4.17%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 18:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:09
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:09
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:09
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:09
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:10
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -17.98%E -4.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.55%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 14:09
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -19.11%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:09
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -19.11%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -19.11%E -5.31%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.07%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-03-13 18:50