La escuela de los momios

Saint Etienne v USL Dunkerque

Inicio: 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC

Final: Saint Etienne 2–1 USL Dunkerque

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Predicción 61.51%1.63momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -4.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.92%61.46%61.42%63.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.501.5869.93%66.12%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

USL Dunkerque (Visitante)

Predicción 17.08%5.85momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +0.660%
Kelly +0.790%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.58%17.09%17.14%19.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.205.206.0921.74%19.24%19.23%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.41%4.67momio equitativo
EV -0.865%
Ventaja -0.187%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%21.44%21.44%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.184.204.6327.78%23.93%23.81%21.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.78%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.62%EV +4.02%E +0.660%K +0.790%G +0.032%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.60%EV -9.86%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 17:55
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.45%EV -7.12%E -4.72%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.86%EV +3.17%E +0.524%K +0.628%G +0.020%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.69%EV -0.865%E -0.187%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 17:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.97%E -6.06%K -18.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV +2.48%E +0.414%K +0.497%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 17:40
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.46%EV -9.58%E -6.52%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.81%EV +0.775%E +0.131%K +0.158%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.65%E -0.811%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:55
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -3.01%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 09:19
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -7.12%E -4.72%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.65%E -0.811%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -1.79%E -0.311%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -9.58%E -6.52%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -2.64%E -0.463%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:35
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.63%EV -9.58%E -6.52%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.35%E -0.777%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 17:35
Suprabets1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -10.20%E -6.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -4.35%E -0.777%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -5.28%E -3.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:34
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.51%E -4.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:45
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.93%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -9.00%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 17:45
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 17:45
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.97%E -6.06%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:54
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.81%E -7.46%K -24.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.95%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:34
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.43%E -7.94%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 17:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.43%E -7.94%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 17:24
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.43%E -7.94%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -6.06%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 17:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.99%EV -6.91%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.28%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -7.77%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.43%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -9.47%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 17:35
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.43%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.39%EV -9.47%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -10.20%E -6.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -9.47%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -3.65%E -0.811%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:10
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.97%E -6.06%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -9.47%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 61.29%EV -8.97%E -6.06%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.11%EV -9.47%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 16:30
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 08:09
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.97%E -6.06%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -10.33%E -1.97%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:34
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.93%EV -8.35%E -5.61%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -9.58%E -6.52%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -11.18%E -2.15%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 17:54
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.70%EV -6.51%E -4.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -12.89%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 17:35
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 07:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:15
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:15
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.74%E -5.16%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.43%E -7.94%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -12.04%E -8.42%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -10.07%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -11.43%E -7.94%K -25.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -14.60%E -2.92%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.92%E -6.37%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-11 12:00
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.00%EV -2.82%E -1.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 09:14
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:14
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:14
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:14
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -18.01%E -3.75%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 09:15
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 09:15
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -3.43%E -2.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -4.05%E -2.59%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -19.72%E -4.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 09:15
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -21.43%E -4.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.50%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 06:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -21.43%E -4.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.50%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 06:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -21.43%E -4.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.50%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 07:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -5.89%E -3.85%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -21.43%E -4.66%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.50%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 06:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-11 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-11 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-11 17:50
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-11 17:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-04-11 17:50