La escuela de los momios

Rodez AF v Saint Etienne

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 2–1 Saint Etienne

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rodez AF (Local)

Predicción 31.02%3.22momio equitativo
EV +0.815%
Ventaja +0.251%
Kelly +0.362%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.43%30.82%31.11%34.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.952.903.2538.46%33.87%34.48%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Predicción 42.59%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.89%42.66%42.52%43.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.172.2850.00%46.22%46.08%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.277%
Kelly -0.378%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%26.53%26.37%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.84%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV +0.815%E +0.251%K +0.362%G +0.003%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.23%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -9.75%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -0.736%E -0.230%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:35
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -0.736%E -0.230%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:54
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -0.736%E -0.230%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -4.60%E -2.05%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -3.22%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -3.22%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.09%EV -6.73%E -3.07%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -14.23%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:41
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:29
1xBet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.06%EV -5.08%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.62%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Suprabets3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.89%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.31%EV -15.29%E -4.76%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:37
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -5.39%E -1.77%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -15.55%E -4.86%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.04%E -0.277%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:45
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:45
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.36%E -0.638%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 17:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:45
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:45
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:44
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -7.87%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.60%EV -7.87%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.27%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 17:35
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.04%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 17:40
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.66%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.66%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.66%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.66%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -10.66%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.82%E -7.41%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.19%E -5.87%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.14%E -4.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.14%E -4.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.14%E -4.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.14%E -4.69%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -14.69%E -5.34%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -12.69%E -6.19%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -14.23%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-02 17:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -19.35%E -7.44%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.89%EV -7.58%E -3.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 13:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-05-02 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-05-02 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-05-02 17:45
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%0.9%2026-05-02 17:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-05-02 17:45